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Bearish
Chart Pattern

Rising Wedge Real Chart Examples & Case Studies

By Alexey Khmelev · Data: Binance OHLCV 2020–2026 · Updated: June 2026 · 6 examples

Understanding the Rising Wedge in theory is one thing, but trading it in live crypto markets is another. On this page, we break down 6 real historical examples of the Rising Wedge using Binance OHLCV data from 2020 to 2026. We'll examine textbook successes, analyze why certain setups failed, and explore complex variations.

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What you'll learn from these examples:
  • How the Rising Wedge pattern looks on real Binance charts
  • Why some setups succeed and others fail — with annotated entry, stop, and target levels
  • How market context, volume, and timeframe affect the outcome
  • Common traps and how to avoid them in live trading

Successful Rising Wedge Examples

These examples show the Rising Wedge pattern performing as expected — price moves in the predicted direction, reaching the target level while respecting the stop loss.

✓ Success
ETH/USDT · 4H · Dec 27, 2023

Textbook Rising Wedge Breakout

Rising Wedge successful trade example on ETH/USDT 4H chart
Rising Wedge successful trade example on ETH/USDT 4H chart — Dec 27, 2023

Market Context

This ETH/USDT 4H setup is a classic example of a Rising Wedge working perfectly. Notice how the entry trigger was cleanly hit before the explosive move to target.

Trade Analysis

The entry was triggered cleanly above the pattern confirmation line. Price momentum carried the asset directly to the target level without threatening the stop loss.

Outcome: Target reached: +2.9% in 10 candles.
✓ Success
BTC/USDT · 4H · Apr 27, 2023

Textbook Rising Wedge Breakout

Rising Wedge successful trade example on BTC/USDT 4H chart
Rising Wedge successful trade example on BTC/USDT 4H chart — Apr 27, 2023

Market Context

A high-probability Rising Wedge trade on BTC/USDT. The pattern formed right at major historical support, providing an excellent risk-to-reward ratio.

Trade Analysis

The entry was triggered cleanly above the pattern confirmation line. Price momentum carried the asset directly to the target level without threatening the stop loss.

Outcome: Target reached: +3.9% in 11 candles.
✓ Success
BTC/USDT · 1D · Jun 21, 2024

Textbook Rising Wedge Breakout

Rising Wedge successful trade example on BTC/USDT 1D chart
Rising Wedge successful trade example on BTC/USDT 1D chart — Jun 21, 2024

Market Context

A perfect Rising Wedge formed at the bottom of a BTC/USDT 1D downtrend. The setup showed strong volume confirmation, validating the reversal signal.

Trade Analysis

The entry was triggered cleanly above the pattern confirmation line. Price momentum carried the asset directly to the target level without threatening the stop loss.

Outcome: Target reached: +14.1% in 12 candles.

Failed Rising Wedge Examples

These examples show setups where the Rising Wedge pattern failed to follow through. Studying failures is just as important as studying successes — they reveal the conditions where this pattern is unreliable.

✗ Failure
ETH/USDT · 1D · Jun 13, 2022

Failed Rising Wedge Trap

Rising Wedge failed trade example on ETH/USDT 1D chart
Rising Wedge failed trade example on ETH/USDT 1D chart — Jun 13, 2022

Market Context

This Rising Wedge on ETH/USDT 1D looked promising initially but failed to follow through. The broader market trend overpowered the local pattern signal.

Why It Failed

After the initial entry trigger, buying pressure immediately evaporated. The asset reversed sharply, trapping late entrants and hitting the stop loss level.

Outcome: Stop loss hit: -2.3% in 6 candles.
✗ Failure
ETH/USDT · 4H · Mar 22, 2022

Failed Rising Wedge Trap

Rising Wedge failed trade example on ETH/USDT 4H chart
Rising Wedge failed trade example on ETH/USDT 4H chart — Mar 22, 2022

Market Context

A false breakout example. The Rising Wedge triggered the entry on ETH/USDT, but immediately reversed and hit the stop loss as volume dried up.

Why It Failed

After the initial entry trigger, buying pressure immediately evaporated. The asset reversed sharply, trapping late entrants and hitting the stop loss level.

Outcome: Stop loss hit: -4.2% in 8 candles.

Complex Variant Examples

These examples show non-standard or complex variations of the Rising Wedge pattern — setups that don't fit neatly into success or failure categories but offer important lessons about pattern nuance.

⚠ Variant
BNB/USDT · 4H · Nov 17, 2021

Complex Rising Wedge Formation

Rising Wedge complex variant example on BNB/USDT 4H chart
Rising Wedge complex variant example on BNB/USDT 4H chart — Nov 17, 2021

Market Context

This BNB/USDT 4H setup demonstrates how the Rising Wedge can appear in ranging markets. The outcome was successful despite the choppy price action.

Analysis

The pattern structure was slightly irregular, requiring a wider stop loss. However, the underlying supply/demand dynamics remained valid, eventually leading to a profitable outcome.

Outcome: Target reached: +5.1% in 10 candles.

Key Takeaways from These Rising Wedge Examples

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When It Works

The Rising Wedge is most reliable when it forms at a key support or resistance level, confirmed by above-average volume and aligned with the broader market trend.

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When It Fails

Failures typically occur in choppy, low-volume markets or when the pattern forms against the dominant trend. Counter-trend setups have significantly lower success rates.

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Risk Management

Always place your stop loss at the pattern extreme. A well-defined stop loss is what separates professional traders from those who blow up their accounts on failed patterns.

Educational use only. All chart examples are taken from real Binance OHLCV historical data and are provided for educational and informational purposes only. Past pattern performance does not guarantee future results. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk. This is not financial advice. See our full disclaimer.